What is apparent from the national party conventions is that the two parties are pursuing very different strategies in their quest for 270 Electoral College votes. The Republicans are essentially using the Karl Rove model of 2000 and 2004, while the Democrats are putting forth a new take on a very old model used throughout American history to upend the status quo and usher in new governing majorities.
Which side comes out on top will largely be a function of how the 2008 presidential election plays out. If 2008 is "a big election, about small things," then the GOP should be able to continue using the Executive Branch to run the country into the ground. However, if 2008 is a transformational moment in American political history, then do not be surprised to see Barack Obama in the White House come January.
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