Derby trails Heller by 5 percent in new poll
By Daniel TrudeauA new Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN poll finds Democratic challenger Jill Derby (D-Carson City) is within striking distance of incumbent U.S. Rep. Dean Heller (R-Carson City) in the 2nd Congressional District.
Derby, a former state Democratic chairwoman, trails Heller 47 percent to 42 percent, according to the poll. However, the 5 percent margin of error and recent registration swings in the 2nd District favoring Democrats suggest the poll could actually be good news for the challenger.
In a June 14 Las Vegas Sun poll, Heller led Derby by 14 points, 53-39; he defeated Derby by five points in locking up his first term two years ago.
Registration numbers show Democrats have picked up 14,000 new voters in the district since then, while Republicans have lost voters.
Derby has also benefitted from financial support from the national Democratic party, which has targetted Heller's seat as vulnerable to takeover.
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The other poll you're citing here is actually a LVRJ poll. And it was not really a reliable poll as the sample was utterly ridiculous. It only had a sample size of 232. That would make for a very high margin of error when you consider that the RGJ polled 400 people and has a 5% moe. Basically, the LVRJ poll was pretty much meaningless.
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